Imagine you are sailing a ship through dense fog, looking out for land. Your lookout spots species of birds typically found offshore. It now seems likely that you are approaching land, but it is ...

Despite labor weakness, the broader economy shows resilience. The Fed's revised forecast of 2.3% growth for 2026 suggests ...

UCLA Anderson Forecast predicted in March that, if enacted, the Trump administration’s economic policies will lead to recession. Clement Bohr, the economist who authored the recession watch report, ...

There has been considerable debate recently about whether the U.S. economy could be entering a period of stagflation and whether a recession is looming. Those who believe the economy is at risk of a ...

Goldman Sachs economists lowered their recession forecast for the U.S. to 35%, from 45% previously, following a temporary tariff truce between the U.S. and China on Monday, which lifted hopes of ...

Major brokerages, including Goldman Sachs, have lowered their U.S. recession forecasts due to the temporary tariff truce between the U.S. and China. Several brokerages, like Barclays and J.P. Morgan, ...

University of Hawaii economists expect the state economy to begin gradually contracting later this year due to federal policy impacts hurting tourism, employment and personal income. The University of ...

The Bay Area's tremendous six-year economic boom is winding down and the region will almost certainly slip into a recession within the next 12 months, according to a widely watched forecast issued ...

JPMorgan Chase‘s chief global strategist suggests that the US economy, while likely to dodge a recession, should brace for slower growth. Despite these challenges, Kelly remains optimistic about the ...

Goldman Sachs on Thursday trimmed its U.S. recession probability to 30% from 35% for the next twelve months on easing uncertainty around President Donald Trump's tariff policies after the U.S. and ...

A recession has been in the forecast for much of 2023. Yet an economic downturn — formally defined as two consecutive quarters of declining GDP growth — has yet to happen. "A recession is obviously ...

An inverted rate yield curve – that is, a long-term interest rate that falls to or below the short-term interest rate – seems to have a track record of predicting recessions. The question of leading ...